62 lines
6.8 KiB
Markdown
62 lines
6.8 KiB
Markdown
# SPY 0DTE Scalp Runbook — E2E Fast Path (MARI-native)
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*v2 — 2026-09-01 13:45 ET. v1 built 2026-08-28 from spy-1787942969793 (closed un-filled at 3:00 wall). v2 folds in the 2026-09-01 double-failure post-mortem (spy-1788280948132, spy-1788282204586 — both discarded un-filled, zero fills, $0 cost). Lives in `runbooks/` — MARI-native execution jurisdiction, NOT ICM: no stage-review gates; the platform's Arm/Enter cards are the only human gates. Per MEMORY.md RUN RULES, reading this file is the FIRST tool call of every scalp, before recon, before record — no exceptions.*
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## The speed rule
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**Never discover inside a trade window.** Design + record the plan BEFORE the intended entry window; arm = one pasted line. Measured 2026-09-01: prompt→ready 5m41s (two full ~700KB chain pulls + one schema retry) then ~21 min dead in the arm handoff = setup near-invalidation by ready time. Targets under this runbook: **prompt→plan-ready ≤90s, prompt→armed ≈2–3 min.** The Arm card click is the irreducible floor (app-owned pack preflight, safety rail) — everything else compresses.
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## 0. T+0 gate + handshake (v2 — this failed twice before it was written down)
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- **First tool call of the run = read this runbook.** It must land visibly in the transcript before any recon or record call.
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- **Handshake:** member parks the Live Trading window OPEN + CONNECTED *before* saying go. The go prompt carries symbol + account, nothing else.
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- MARI never asks "which window are you in" mid-flight. If the cockpit is not connected at arm time, the window is already burning → stale-kill per §4, re-stage, don't negotiate.
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## 1. Recon burst (≤60s, ONE parallel tool block)
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- Same block: `snapshot(SPY)` + `ttg_trade_workflow_prepare_context` + `options_snapshot_chain` for **ONE side only** — the side the snapshot's direction call already picked. Never both chains. **Never a mid-flow re-pull, including at stale checks** (the 9/1 re-validation pull at 12:53 was pure waste; snapshot + last known quotes answer staleness).
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- Direction call: price vs VWAP + day-low/high structure. Trend-day tape → trade the break (continuation), not the bounce. Mid-range chop → stand down. Bounce in progress toward invalidation → do NOT chase; record a CONDITIONAL plan whose entry zone only fills on a re-press (9/1: zone 0.42–0.58 on 761P after a 4-minute bounce), or stand down entirely.
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- Liquidity check (both expiries, Friday rule):
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- `ttg-options` → `options_snapshot_chain`, params: `underlyingAsset: "SPY"`, `contract_type: "put"|"call"`, `expiration_date` EXACT string "2026-09-01"-style (range objects = HTTP 500), `limit: 250`, `sort: "strike_price"`.
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- 0DTE near-money: 1–2¢ spreads, 300–600K vol = elite. Next-week: premium ~$4 → +20% in 15 min needs ~$1.60 SPY move vs ~$0.30 on 0DTE. 0DTE is the 15-min vehicle; next-week is for plays/swings.
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- Vehicle pick: ATM-ish strike, delta −0.3 to −0.5 at expected trigger price, spread ≤ 2¢.
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## 2. Record the plan (schema-exact v2, FIRST TRY)
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`ttg_trade_workflow_record_plan` — template (validated shape, both 8/28 and 9/1):
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```
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brokerId: "tos-paper", connectedBrokerPackId: "tos-paper",
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accountCode: "D-67336185" // 185; "D-67336186" = 186
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assetClass: "option", symbol: "SPY", side: "buy",
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tradeStyle: "scalp", // NOT "style"
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instrumentRef: {symbol: "SPY", strike: 761, type: "put",
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expiration: "2026-09-01"}, // MUST be object, never string
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levels: {
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entry: {zone: {low: 0.42, high: 0.58}, type: "limit"}, // premium zone
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stop: {offset: 0.10}, // POSITIVE number — it's a distance below fill.
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// 9/1 cost 45s on "-0.1": rejected, full retry cycle.
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targets: [{offset: 0.12, portionPct: 50}, {offset: 0.18, portionPct: 50}], // max 2
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timeStopSec: 900, // REQUIRED for scalp/day; in-trade from fill
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breakevenAfterT1: true
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},
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risk: {maxDollars: 20}, // engine computes qty — NEVER send qty
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timeLimitSec: 600, // ENTRY WINDOW seconds (NOT the time stop)
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rationale: "≥40 chars — SPY-level triggers, invalidations, walls, order-safety directives here"
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```
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Validation gotchas (each has cost an iteration): `tradeStyle` not `style`; no top-level entry/stop/target/qty; `instrumentRef` object not string; **stop offset positive**; engine enforces **R:R > 1 — every target offset must exceed the stop offset**.
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Response: planId `spy-<epoch-ms>`, status draft in PLANS/. SPY-level triggers go in rationale.
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## 3. Arm — CONFIRMED 2026-09-01 (twice), no longer a hypothesis
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- **Main-chat "arm" CANNOT fire the card.** The Arm card exists ONLY in the Live Trading window's own MARI chat. Member types `arm <planId>` THERE → card renders → Arm click (preflight auto-runs) → Enter.
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- MARI waits via `await_event` (revision change), never sleep-polling; plan-ready message carries planId + the literal arm line so the paste is 5 seconds.
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- **NEVER fake arming from main chat** (`update_plan status:"open"` skips preflight/stream verify — dangerous). Main-window MARI cannot arm; the cockpit orchestrator owns execution.
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- **Stale-kill:** if not armed by the entry-window deadline → `ttg_trade_workflow_discard_plan` (verified live twice 9/1), stand down, never manage a dead window, never chase the bounce afterward.
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## 4. Manage (standing protocol — member directives, encode in rationale every time)
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1. On fill: verify BOTH working and filled orders. Stop must read **SELL TO CLOSE <qty>** — never sell-to-open, never a short entry.
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2. T1 fills → scale stop to remaining qty (+ breakevenAfterT1 moves it to BE). T2/stop-out → **cancel ALL working orders the instant flat or profit taken.** Working + filled checked both after every event. No orphans, ever.
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3. Walls: `timeStopSec` from fill + explicit wall-clock hard flat in rationale. Bail on tape deterioration before the stop (slow grind back = failed setup).
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4. Management loop = `await_event` cycles at 1s belt/watcher cadence; terse timestamped updates only while the window is live.
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## 5. Post-mortem discipline (v2)
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After every e2e run — fill or not: procedure deltas fold into THIS file; MEMORY.md Lessons gets a one-line pointer only. **Lessons = history + pointers. Runbook = procedure.** A procedure that lives only in Lessons will lose to run momentum — verified 9/1 when the loaded lesson was ignored mid-flight.
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## 15-min target math (10–25% premium band)
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- 0DTE ATM-ish premium P, delta Δ: +20% ≈ 0.20·P / Δ SPY move. At P≈$0.85, Δ≈−0.50 → ~$0.34 SPY. Routine in 15 min on a break.
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- Engine R:R rule forces target offset > stop offset: size stop −10 to −16% and T1 +19 to +22% to stay inside the band AND clear R:R>1 (verified combos: stop 0.18 / T1 0.20 / T2 0.40 on ~$0.84 fill; stop 0.10 / T1 0.12 / T2 0.18 on ~$0.54 mid).
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