From bd0c435e6fe6b00c13be56bee7da65ce5d8dd5c7 Mon Sep 17 00:00:00 2001 From: Eric Bell Date: Tue, 18 Aug 2026 09:18:52 -0400 Subject: [PATCH] renamed scan watchlist -> for options --- .../CLAUDE.md | 0 .../CONTEXT.md | 0 .../_config/trade_plan_template.md | 0 .../shared/260817.csv | 0 .../shared/260818.csv | 2 + .../shared/cha-martin-1.csv | 0 .../shared/cha-martin-2.csv | 0 .../shared/cha-martin-watchlist.ms.csv | 0 .../shared/scan-watchlist.md | 0 .../stages/00_clarify/CONTEXT.md | 0 .../00_clarify/output/user_preferences.md | 28 +++++++ .../stages/01_broad_filter/CONTEXT.md | 0 .../01_broad_filter/output/shortlist.md | 50 +++++++++++ .../stages/02_confluence_analysis/CONTEXT.md | 0 .../output/confluence_analysis.md | 51 ++++++++++++ .../stages/03_trade_plan/CONTEXT.md | 0 .../03_trade_plan/output/trade_plans.md | 83 +++++++++++++++++++ .../stages/04_summary_card/CONTEXT.md | 0 .../04_summary_card/output/summary_card.md | 37 +++++++++ .../00_clarify/output/user_preferences.md | 31 ------- 20 files changed, 251 insertions(+), 31 deletions(-) rename workflows/{scan-watchlist-icm => scan-watchlist-for-options}/CLAUDE.md (100%) rename workflows/{scan-watchlist-icm => scan-watchlist-for-options}/CONTEXT.md (100%) rename workflows/{scan-watchlist-icm => scan-watchlist-for-options}/_config/trade_plan_template.md (100%) rename workflows/{scan-watchlist-icm => scan-watchlist-for-options}/shared/260817.csv (100%) create mode 100644 workflows/scan-watchlist-for-options/shared/260818.csv rename workflows/{scan-watchlist-icm => scan-watchlist-for-options}/shared/cha-martin-1.csv (100%) rename workflows/{scan-watchlist-icm => scan-watchlist-for-options}/shared/cha-martin-2.csv (100%) rename workflows/{scan-watchlist-icm => scan-watchlist-for-options}/shared/cha-martin-watchlist.ms.csv (100%) rename workflows/{scan-watchlist-icm => scan-watchlist-for-options}/shared/scan-watchlist.md (100%) rename workflows/{scan-watchlist-icm => scan-watchlist-for-options}/stages/00_clarify/CONTEXT.md (100%) create mode 100644 workflows/scan-watchlist-for-options/stages/00_clarify/output/user_preferences.md rename workflows/{scan-watchlist-icm => scan-watchlist-for-options}/stages/01_broad_filter/CONTEXT.md (100%) create mode 100644 workflows/scan-watchlist-for-options/stages/01_broad_filter/output/shortlist.md rename workflows/{scan-watchlist-icm => scan-watchlist-for-options}/stages/02_confluence_analysis/CONTEXT.md (100%) create mode 100644 workflows/scan-watchlist-for-options/stages/02_confluence_analysis/output/confluence_analysis.md rename workflows/{scan-watchlist-icm => scan-watchlist-for-options}/stages/03_trade_plan/CONTEXT.md (100%) create mode 100644 workflows/scan-watchlist-for-options/stages/03_trade_plan/output/trade_plans.md rename workflows/{scan-watchlist-icm => scan-watchlist-for-options}/stages/04_summary_card/CONTEXT.md (100%) create mode 100644 workflows/scan-watchlist-for-options/stages/04_summary_card/output/summary_card.md delete mode 100644 workflows/scan-watchlist-icm/stages/00_clarify/output/user_preferences.md diff --git a/workflows/scan-watchlist-icm/CLAUDE.md b/workflows/scan-watchlist-for-options/CLAUDE.md similarity index 100% rename from workflows/scan-watchlist-icm/CLAUDE.md rename to workflows/scan-watchlist-for-options/CLAUDE.md diff --git a/workflows/scan-watchlist-icm/CONTEXT.md b/workflows/scan-watchlist-for-options/CONTEXT.md similarity index 100% rename from workflows/scan-watchlist-icm/CONTEXT.md rename to workflows/scan-watchlist-for-options/CONTEXT.md diff --git a/workflows/scan-watchlist-icm/_config/trade_plan_template.md b/workflows/scan-watchlist-for-options/_config/trade_plan_template.md similarity index 100% rename from workflows/scan-watchlist-icm/_config/trade_plan_template.md rename to workflows/scan-watchlist-for-options/_config/trade_plan_template.md diff --git a/workflows/scan-watchlist-icm/shared/260817.csv b/workflows/scan-watchlist-for-options/shared/260817.csv similarity index 100% rename from workflows/scan-watchlist-icm/shared/260817.csv rename to workflows/scan-watchlist-for-options/shared/260817.csv diff --git a/workflows/scan-watchlist-for-options/shared/260818.csv b/workflows/scan-watchlist-for-options/shared/260818.csv new file mode 100644 index 0000000..10f5924 --- /dev/null +++ b/workflows/scan-watchlist-for-options/shared/260818.csv @@ -0,0 +1,2 @@ +XOS +AMLX diff --git a/workflows/scan-watchlist-icm/shared/cha-martin-1.csv b/workflows/scan-watchlist-for-options/shared/cha-martin-1.csv similarity index 100% rename from workflows/scan-watchlist-icm/shared/cha-martin-1.csv rename to workflows/scan-watchlist-for-options/shared/cha-martin-1.csv diff --git a/workflows/scan-watchlist-icm/shared/cha-martin-2.csv b/workflows/scan-watchlist-for-options/shared/cha-martin-2.csv similarity index 100% rename from workflows/scan-watchlist-icm/shared/cha-martin-2.csv rename to workflows/scan-watchlist-for-options/shared/cha-martin-2.csv diff --git a/workflows/scan-watchlist-icm/shared/cha-martin-watchlist.ms.csv b/workflows/scan-watchlist-for-options/shared/cha-martin-watchlist.ms.csv similarity index 100% rename from workflows/scan-watchlist-icm/shared/cha-martin-watchlist.ms.csv rename to workflows/scan-watchlist-for-options/shared/cha-martin-watchlist.ms.csv diff --git a/workflows/scan-watchlist-icm/shared/scan-watchlist.md b/workflows/scan-watchlist-for-options/shared/scan-watchlist.md similarity index 100% rename from workflows/scan-watchlist-icm/shared/scan-watchlist.md rename to workflows/scan-watchlist-for-options/shared/scan-watchlist.md diff --git a/workflows/scan-watchlist-icm/stages/00_clarify/CONTEXT.md b/workflows/scan-watchlist-for-options/stages/00_clarify/CONTEXT.md similarity index 100% rename from workflows/scan-watchlist-icm/stages/00_clarify/CONTEXT.md rename to workflows/scan-watchlist-for-options/stages/00_clarify/CONTEXT.md diff --git a/workflows/scan-watchlist-for-options/stages/00_clarify/output/user_preferences.md b/workflows/scan-watchlist-for-options/stages/00_clarify/output/user_preferences.md new file mode 100644 index 0000000..aed7476 --- /dev/null +++ b/workflows/scan-watchlist-for-options/stages/00_clarify/output/user_preferences.md @@ -0,0 +1,28 @@ +# Scan Preferences — run 2026-08-18 (Tue) morning, ~8:03 AM ET (pre-market) + +## Config (confirmed by operator 2026-08-18 ~8:03 AM ET) + +1. **Bias:** both — long + short setups. Operator clarified "both" = **single-leg calls and single-leg puts** in the options evaluation. +2. **Time horizon:** shortest DTE possible = **0DTE — expiring today, Tue 2026-08-18** (pre-market run; market opens 9:30 AM ET, ~1.5h to regular open). +3. **Asset class focus:** Equities only (both list members are equities; no ETFs in this list). +4. **Watchlist file:** `260818.csv` (2 tickers) + +## Tickers (2) + +| Ticker | Type | +|--------|------| +| XOS | equity | +| AMLX | equity | + +## Standing preferences carried from memory + +- Near-50MA confluence: tickers within ~1% of 50MA flagged as strong confluence (broad filter uses ~3% per stage design). +- Options structure this run: **single-leg calls AND single-leg puts** (operator override of the usual credit-spread preference). +- Bid-ask spread ≤ $0.25 preferred for 0DTE scalps; avoid wide-spread strikes. +- VWAP is the standard intraday reference; pullbacks to VWAP in rising action = long trigger; rejection into resistance = short trigger. +- Multi-target exits (T1/T2/T3) with partials; stop-tighten as targets hit. +- User polls for progress — keep status updates visible between stages. + +## Notes +- Pre-market run: daily structure from completed prior sessions (Aug 17 close); intraday VWAP/orange-range setup will form at the 9:30 open. Plans should specify pre-market entries where quotes allow, plus open-auction triggers. +- List ≤15 → stage 01 passes full list through unchanged (no triage cut). diff --git a/workflows/scan-watchlist-icm/stages/01_broad_filter/CONTEXT.md b/workflows/scan-watchlist-for-options/stages/01_broad_filter/CONTEXT.md similarity index 100% rename from workflows/scan-watchlist-icm/stages/01_broad_filter/CONTEXT.md rename to workflows/scan-watchlist-for-options/stages/01_broad_filter/CONTEXT.md diff --git a/workflows/scan-watchlist-for-options/stages/01_broad_filter/output/shortlist.md b/workflows/scan-watchlist-for-options/stages/01_broad_filter/output/shortlist.md new file mode 100644 index 0000000..39ec89b --- /dev/null +++ b/workflows/scan-watchlist-for-options/stages/01_broad_filter/output/shortlist.md @@ -0,0 +1,50 @@ +# Broad Filter Output (Shortlist) — run 2026-08-18 (Tue) + +Input: `shared/260818.csv` → **XOS, AMLX** (2 tickers). +List ≤ 15 → per workflow rule, **skip triage; full list passes through unchanged**. + +Data as of 8:10–8:14 AM ET, 2026-08-18, pre-market (`market_status: early_trading`). All data TTG MCP only. + +## Market regime (SPY/QQQ) + +| Ticker | PM price | Chg vs prev close | PM VWAP | Notes | +|---|---|---|---|---| +| SPY | 769.48 | **−0.41%** (prev 772.67) | 774.17 | PM range 772.51–776.78 | +| QQQ | 721.61 | **−1.13%** (prev 729.87) | 731.74 | PM range 729.27–734.58 | + +**Regime: risk-off pre-market, tech-led** (QQQ ~2.7x SPY's decline). Idiosyncratic gappers in the watchlist = relative strength into a weak tape. + +## Watchlist snapshot + +| Ticker | Name | PM price | Chg | Prev close | AH chg | PM VWAP | PM bid/ask | PM/AH vol | Regime fit | +|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---| +| XOS | Xos, Inc. | 4.6682 | **+123.35%** | 2.09 | +87.08% (→~3.90) | 3.7622 | 4.66/4.67 ($0.01) | **28.0M shares** (normal ~0.1–0.5M) | Extreme relative strength | +| AMLX | Amylyx Pharma | 27.46 (→28.14 by 8:14) | **+28.12%** | 21.43 | +14.28% (→~24.5) | 22.3694 | 27.45/27.60 ($0.15) | 1.27M (8/17 reg sess; last-min PM 42.4K sh) | Strong relative strength | + +## Catalyst check (Benzinga, via ttg-benzinga `benzinga_news`) + +- **XOS** — First US Air Force contract: prototype OTA for a deployable mobile battery-energy-storage / EV-charging solution, announced Monday 8/17 after close. AH +86.6% → $3.90, continued to $4.67+ PM. Micro-cap ($29.7M mkt cap). [Xos (XOS) Stock Rallies Over 86% After Hours, 6:04 ET] +- **AMLX** — Phase 3 LUCIDITY topline results **announced 8:00 AM ET today: MET primary endpoint** (55% reduction in L2/L3 hypoglycemic events vs placebo, p=0.000003), all secondary endpoints met, NDA planned by year-end, Breakthrough Therapy designation. Halted 6:55:57 AM ET, resumed 7:25 AM ET. [11:08 UTC headline] + +## Daily structure (54 daily bars each, TTG `stocks_aggs_custom_bars`) + +| Ticker | Last close (8/17) | MA20 | MA50 | 54d high / low | Structure read | +|---|---|---|---|---|---| +| XOS | 2.09 | 2.33 | 2.73 | 8.27 (6/3 IPO) / 1.85 (8/14) | Post-IPO downtrend base 1.85–2.75 → +123% gap **through** all structure; extended, not MA-confluent. June supply zones: 3.58–4.64, 5.20–5.48, 6.20 | +| AMLX | 21.43 | 20.91 | 18.29 | 24.60 (8/7 ATH) / 12.62 (7/1) | Multi-month uptrend → PM 27.5–28.1 = **new all-time high breakout**, trend-aligned, extended above MAs | + +## Options availability (the "shortest DTE" question, answered) + +| Ticker | 0DTE (8/18) | Nearest listed exp | Detail | +|---|---|---|---| +| XOS | **Does not exist — no listed options at all** (full chain query empty) | n/a | **Equity-only** for this run | +| AMLX | Empty for 8/18 | **2026-08-21 (Fri) = 1 DTE** | Strikes $1 apart. 8/21 OI around money: calls 20C/361, 28C/194, 33C/178, 35C/101, 40C/104; puts 21P/93, 24P/19, 25P/14 — **zero put OI above 25P**. All quotes 0/0 until 9:30 open. | + +**Operator config "shortest DTE possible": XOS = equity only (no options market). AMLX = 8/21 weekly (1 DTE) — that is the shortest DTE that exists for this name.** + +## Shortlist (pass-through, unchanged) + +1. **XOS** — equity long/short only +2. **AMLX** — single-leg calls and puts on 8/21 weekly + equity + +Both pass to Stage 02. Nothing excluded. diff --git a/workflows/scan-watchlist-icm/stages/02_confluence_analysis/CONTEXT.md b/workflows/scan-watchlist-for-options/stages/02_confluence_analysis/CONTEXT.md similarity index 100% rename from workflows/scan-watchlist-icm/stages/02_confluence_analysis/CONTEXT.md rename to workflows/scan-watchlist-for-options/stages/02_confluence_analysis/CONTEXT.md diff --git a/workflows/scan-watchlist-for-options/stages/02_confluence_analysis/output/confluence_analysis.md b/workflows/scan-watchlist-for-options/stages/02_confluence_analysis/output/confluence_analysis.md new file mode 100644 index 0000000..1d69928 --- /dev/null +++ b/workflows/scan-watchlist-for-options/stages/02_confluence_analysis/output/confluence_analysis.md @@ -0,0 +1,51 @@ +# Confluence Analysis — run 2026-08-18 (Tue) + +As of 8:25 AM ET pre-market. All data TTG MCP (ttg-stocks, ttg-options, ttg-benzinga). +Operator config: **single-leg calls AND single-leg puts, shortest DTE possible, equities**. + +Confluence dimensions per ticker: (1) catalyst strength/verifiability, (2) daily structure, (3) pre-market/gap structure, (4) volume confirmation, (5) options availability + liquidity, (6) relative strength vs tape. + +--- + +## 1. AMLX — Amylyx Pharmaceuticals (score 5/6) — TOP SETUP + +**Catalyst (✓✓):** Phase 3 LUCIDITY (avexitide, post-bariatric hypoglycemia) topline announced 8:00 AM ET today — **primary endpoint MET: 55% reduction in composite L2/L3 hypoglycemic events vs placebo, p=0.000003; all secondary endpoints met (SMBG, CGM, L3); well-tolerated; NDA planned by year-end; Breakthrough Therapy designation.** This is the strongest category of catalyst (confirmed data pass with path to filing), not a rumor or contract-terms-not-disclosed story. + +**Daily structure (✓):** Multi-month uptrend 12.62 (7/1 low) → 24.60 (8/7 prior ATH) → PM 27.5–28.1 = **new all-time high breakout**. Above MA20 (20.91) by +31% and MA50 (18.29) by +53% — extended, but every day since 8/1 has closed higher or flat; trend-aligned, no overhead structure between PM price and open air. Extension is a risk, not a confluence (fails the user's ~1%-of-50MA filter — noted honestly: this is a breakout play, not a 50MA confluence play). + +**Pre-market structure (✓):** +28.1% PM. Halted 6:55:57 AM ET on news, resumed 7:25 AM. PM VWAP 22.37 ≈ 8/17 regular-session VWAP (22.37) = first support confluence; prior ATH 24.60 = second support. Price (28.14 at 8:14) is well above PM VWAP = buying on strength, not a gap-fill setup. + +**Volume (✓ with caveat):** 8/17 regular session 1.27M sh (above its 0.8–2M normal, below its 3.5M data-day level of 8/6). PM tape: 42.4K sh in the last minute alone. No full PM volume total in the snapshot — flagged; expect 3–5M+ on the open given the data day. + +**Options (◐):** Shortest DTE = **8/21 weekly (1 DTE)** — no 0DTE exists for AMLX. 8/21 OI: **28C 194, 33C 178, 35C 101, 20C 361** (liquid call side); puts: **21P 93, 24P 19, 25P 14, zero OI above 25P** (put side thin — a single-leg put only works at ≤25P or 21P). All quotes 0/0 pre-market — **bid-ask ≤ $0.25 screen must be verified at the 9:30 open** before any option entry. + +**Relative strength (✓✓):** QQQ −1.13% / SPY −0.41% PM vs AMLX +28% — fully idiosyncratic strength in a risk-off tape. + +**Verdict:** Long-bias, calls primary. Put plan is a low-conviction fade of a data beat — presented per "both" config but explicitly ranked low. + +--- + +## 2. XOS — Xos, Inc. (score 4.5/6) + +**Catalyst (✓✓ real, ◐ size-unknown):** First-ever US Air Force contract — prototype OTA (Other Transaction Agreement) for deployable mobile charging / battery energy storage for electrified support equipment. **Terms not disclosed** (prototype OTA = smaller, non-binding-style award vs a full contract). Announced 8/17 AH. Real strategic catalyst for a $29.7M mkt-cap EV-truck company, but magnitude is unquantified — size the position accordingly. + +**Daily structure (◐):** Post-IPO downtrend since 6/3 (8.27 high → 1.85 low on 8/14); +123% PM gap reclaims the entire base. **Not** MA-confluent (71% above MA50 2.73, 101% above MA20 2.33). Overhead supply from the June breakdown: **3.58–4.64 zone (heavy volume), 5.20–5.48, 6.20–8.27**. PM price 4.67 has already re-entered the top of the June supply zone — that's resistance, not open air (the key structural difference vs AMLX). + +**Pre-market structure (✓):** +123% from 2.09. AH cluster 3.90–3.91 = first support; PM VWAP 3.76 = second. Price 4.67 > PM VWAP = strength, but the gap from 2.09–2.16 is wide: gap-fill risk (3.38 midpoint, 2.16 full fill) is the standing threat on any dip. + +**Volume (✓✓):** **28.0M shares** traded across 8/17 extended + 8/18 PM vs normal 100K–500K — 50–100x normal. The strongest volume confirmation of the day. + +**Options (✗):** **No listed options exist for XOS** (full chain query empty). The "single-leg call/put, shortest DTE" config is **not executable for XOS** — equity only. This is a workflow fact, stated plainly. + +**Relative strength (✓✓):** +123% into a −1.13% QQQ tape. + +**Verdict:** Long-bias gap-and-go in equity (momentum entry or pullback to 4.20–4.50). Short variant = fade into 5.20–5.48 June supply — aggressive (fading first-contract micro-cap news), presented per config, ranked low. + +--- + +## Cross-cutting + +- **Tape headwind:** risk-off PM (QQQ −1.13%) — both names hold up anyway = genuine idiosyncratic demand. Weak tape raises the chance of a post-open dip into both names' support zones (which is where the pullback entries live). +- **Liquidity check:** XOS spread $0.01 ✓, AMLX stock spread $0.15 ✓ (both ≤ $0.25). AMLX option quotes unknown until 9:30 — gated. +- **Halt risk:** AMLX halted 6:55–7:25 AM — first 15 min after open can be unstable (auction-driven). Enter AMLX options after the first 5-min bar closes, not in the opening print. +- **No 0DTE exists for either name** — the workflow's "shortest DTE" resolves to: XOS equity-only; AMLX 1-DTE (8/21). diff --git a/workflows/scan-watchlist-icm/stages/03_trade_plan/CONTEXT.md b/workflows/scan-watchlist-for-options/stages/03_trade_plan/CONTEXT.md similarity index 100% rename from workflows/scan-watchlist-icm/stages/03_trade_plan/CONTEXT.md rename to workflows/scan-watchlist-for-options/stages/03_trade_plan/CONTEXT.md diff --git a/workflows/scan-watchlist-for-options/stages/03_trade_plan/output/trade_plans.md b/workflows/scan-watchlist-for-options/stages/03_trade_plan/output/trade_plans.md new file mode 100644 index 0000000..634ed42 --- /dev/null +++ b/workflows/scan-watchlist-for-options/stages/03_trade_plan/output/trade_plans.md @@ -0,0 +1,83 @@ +# Trade Plans — run 2026-08-18 (Tue) + +Config: **single-leg calls AND single-leg puts, shortest DTE possible, equities.** +Shortest-DTE resolution: **XOS has no listed options (equity only). AMLX nearest = 8/21 Friday weekly (1 DTE).** +All quotes TTG MCP, pre-market 8:10–8:33 AM ET. Option bid/ask = 0/0 until 9:30 — **every option entry is gated on a live quote with spread ≤ $0.25 at/after the open.** + +Ranks: ★ conviction, 5 = highest. + +--- + +## PLAN 1 — AMLX 8/21/26 28C (long single-leg call) ★★★★★ — PRIMARY + +| Field | Value | +|---|---| +| Instrument | AMLX 2026-08-21 Call 28.00 (OI 194 — most liquid ATM strike) | +| Side / structure | Buy to open, **single-leg**, 1 DTE | +| Thesis | Confirmed Phase 3 LUCIDITY pass (55% reduction, p=0.000003, all secondary endpoints, NDA by year-end, Breakthrough Therapy) + new-ATH breakout + relative strength into a −1.13% QQQ tape. IV event already happened — residual risk is stock price, not event. | +| Entry trigger | After the **first 5-min bar closes (~9:35 ET)**: AMLX ≥ **$27.00** (holds above prior ATH 24.60 and PM VWAP 22.37) **and** 28C spread ≤ $0.25. Do NOT buy the opening print (name halted 6:55–7:25 AM; auction unstable). | +| Alt strike | 33C (OI 178) if 28C premium too wide — higher beta, needs AMLX ~+18% by Friday. | +| Invalidation (stop) | 5-min close < **$24.50** (prior ATH) → exit. **Time stop:** 11:00 ET, AMLX < $26.00 → exit (1 DTE theta ramps hard post-lunch). | +| T1 | Option +50% → sell ½ | +| T2 | Option +100% → sell ½ of remainder | +| T3 | Trail remainder on 5-min structure through 2:30 PM; if AMLX > $30 at 2:30, can hold to Friday expiry (NDA narrative) | +| Risk note | New-ATH + 28% extended move = chase risk; the $24.50 invalidation is the whole trade. If AMLX opens < $26, skip the plan entirely. | + +--- + +## PLAN 2 — AMLX 8/21/26 24P (long single-leg put) ★☆☆☆☆ — CONDITIONAL ONLY + +| Field | Value | +|---|---| +| Instrument | AMLX 2026-08-21 Put 24.00 (OI 19 — thin; size small). Alt: 21P (OI 93, deep OTM, only works on a violent reversal). | +| Side / structure | Buy to open, single-leg, 1 DTE | +| Thesis | Sell-the-news rejection at all-time highs after a +28% PM: fade toward PM VWAP 22.37 / old ATH 24.60. | +| Entry trigger | **Conditional:** AMLX opens **≥ $29.50** AND fails to print a new high within 15 min of the open (lower 15-min high on the 5-min) AND 24P spread ≤ $0.25. Otherwise the plan does not exist. | +| Invalidation (stop) | 5-min close above the **opening print** (reclaim of PM-high momentum) → exit. Time stop 11:30 ET if AMLX still > $26.50. | +| T1 | AMLX $26.00 → sell ½ | +| T2 | AMLX $24.60 (prior ATH) → sell ½ of remainder | +| T3 | AMLX $23.60 / trail | +| Risk note | **Counter-trend fade of a confirmed data beat — low conviction by construction.** Included to complete the "calls and puts" config; expect it to lose in the base case. If you only take one AMLX side, it's the call. | + +--- + +## PLAN 3 — XOS equity long (gap-and-go) ★★★★☆ + +| Field | Value | +|---|---| +| Instrument | **XOS common stock — equity only (no options market exists for this name)** | +| Side / structure | Long, intraday | +| Thesis | First-ever USAF contract (prototype OTA, terms undisclosed) + 28M-shr pre-market/AH volume (50–100x normal) + PM already reclaimed the top of the June supply zone (4.64). Micro-cap $29.7M mkt cap → violent both ways. | +| Entry A (pullback) | **$4.20–4.50** fill zone (above PM VWAP 3.76 and AH cluster 3.90), only if 5-min bars hold ≥ $4.00 | +| Entry B (momentum) | 5-min close > **$4.80** on expanding volume | +| Invalidation (stop) | 5-min close < **$3.90** (AH cluster) → out. Hard stop from Entry A: $3.85 (−14%); from Entry B use $4.15 (−13%) or the 3.90 rule, whichever is tighter | +| T1 | **$5.00** round → sell ⅓ | +| T2 | **$5.20–5.48** (June supply: 6/8 high 5.20, 6/5 high 5.48) → sell ⅓ | +| T3 | **$6.20** (June high) or trail on 5-min structure into the close | +| Risk note | OTA terms not disclosed → catalyst magnitude unknown; size for a micro-cap. Wide stop is structural here — halve position size vs a normal stop distance. Gap-fill (3.38 midpoint) is the failure mode; the 3.90 invalidation guards it. | + +--- + +## PLAN 4 — XOS equity short (fade the pop) ★★☆☆☆ — CONDITIONAL ONLY + +| Field | Value | +|---|---| +| Instrument | XOS common stock (equity only) | +| Side / structure | Short, intraday | +| Thesis | Fade into the June breakdown supply **$5.20–5.50** (5.48 = 6/5 high; 5.20 = 6/8 high) — the first real overhead wall after open air. | +| Entry trigger | **Conditional:** rejection wick into $5.20–5.50 (15-min high-lower-high on the 5-min + volume contraction). No entry on the first touch — needs a visible rejection. | +| Invalidation (stop) | 5-min close > **$5.75** → out (first supply shelf broken = open air to 6.20/8.27) | +| T1 | $4.67 (PM area / round) → cover ⅓ | +| T2 | $4.00 → cover ⅓ | +| T3 | $3.90 (AH cluster) / trail | +| Risk note | Fading a first-contract micro-cap on real government news is a counter-current trade — take only with a clean rejection signal, and never average a loser here. | + +--- + +## Execution gates (all plans) + +1. 9:30 open: verify AMLX option quotes live (bid/ask, ≤ $0.25) before Plan 1/2 entries — pre-market quotes are 0/0 and meaningless. +2. Do not enter AMLX in the first 5 minutes (halt history 6:55→7:25 AM). +3. Market is risk-off (SPY −0.41%, QQQ −1.13%): pullback entries (Plan 1 trigger ≥27.00, Plan 3 Entry A) are the higher-probability fills; momentum entries only on strength confirmation. +4. One position per name at a time. If Plan 1 (AMLX call) and Plan 2 (AMLX put) conditions ever both appear — they won't; they are mutually exclusive by design. +5. Nothing here is a recorded plan — per workflow, plans become binding only if the operator picks one and we record it via the trade-workflow. diff --git a/workflows/scan-watchlist-icm/stages/04_summary_card/CONTEXT.md b/workflows/scan-watchlist-for-options/stages/04_summary_card/CONTEXT.md similarity index 100% rename from workflows/scan-watchlist-icm/stages/04_summary_card/CONTEXT.md rename to workflows/scan-watchlist-for-options/stages/04_summary_card/CONTEXT.md diff --git a/workflows/scan-watchlist-for-options/stages/04_summary_card/output/summary_card.md b/workflows/scan-watchlist-for-options/stages/04_summary_card/output/summary_card.md new file mode 100644 index 0000000..c62780e --- /dev/null +++ b/workflows/scan-watchlist-for-options/stages/04_summary_card/output/summary_card.md @@ -0,0 +1,37 @@ +# Summary Card — scan-watchlist run 2026-08-18 (Tue) + +**Input:** XOS, AMLX (260818.csv) · **Config:** single-leg calls AND puts, shortest DTE, equities · **Data as of:** ~8:33 AM ET pre-market (TTG MCP only) + +## One-liner +Both watchlist names gapped up hard on confirmed catalysts into a risk-off tape (QQQ −1.13%): **AMLX passed its Phase 3 LUCIDITY trial** (55% reduction, p=0.000003, NDA by year-end) and **XOS landed its first USAF contract** (prototype OTA, terms undisclosed). + +## ⚠️ The "shortest DTE" answer (important) +- **XOS: no options market exists at all** → equity-only plans. +- **AMLX: no 0DTE — shortest listed exp is 8/21 Friday (1 DTE).** Plans built on that weekly. + +## Ranked setups + +| # | Setup | Instrument | Entry | Stop/invalidation | Targets | Conviction | +|---|---|---|---|---|---|---| +| 1 | **AMLX data-day long** | 8/21 **28C** (OI 194) | ≥ $27.00 after first 5-min bar, spread ≤ $0.25 | 5-min close < $24.50; or < $26 by 11:00 | opt +50% / +100% / trail | ★★★★★ | +| 2 | **XOS gap-and-go** | equity | A: $4.20–4.50 pullback (hold ≥ $4.00) · B: 5-min close > $4.80 | 5-min close < $3.90 | $5.00 / $5.20–5.48 / $6.20 | ★★★★☆ | +| 3 | **XOS fade** (conditional) | equity short | rejection into $5.20–5.50 only | 5-min close > $5.75 | $4.67 / $4.00 / $3.90 | ★★☆☆☆ | +| 4 | **AMLX sell-the-news** (conditional) | 8/21 **24P** (OI 19, thin) | opens ≥ $29.50 AND fails new-high within 15 min | reclaim of opening print | $26.00 / $24.60 / $23.60 | ★☆☆☆☆ | + +## Sitting on hands (not recommended today) +- **AMLX put as a first trade** — fading a confirmed Phase 3 beat is the lowest-probability side of the day; Plan 4 exists only for a visible open-rejection scenario. +- **XOS short without rejection** — first-contract micro-cap on real government news; no fading the first touch of 5.20–5.50. +- **Chasing either name if it opens extended past its trigger without the confirmation bar** — risk-off tape makes the pullback fills the better entries. + +## Key levels cheat-sheet +- **AMLX:** 28.14 PM last · 27.00 (entry gate) · 24.60 (old ATH = stop zone) · 22.37 (PM VWAP) · 21.43 (8/17 close) +- **XOS:** 4.67 PM · 3.90 (AH cluster = invalidation) · 3.76 (PM VWAP) · 5.20–5.48 (June supply) · 6.20 (June high) · 3.38 (gap midpoint, worst case) +- **Tape:** SPY 769.48 (−0.41%) · QQQ 721.61 (−1.13%) — risk-off backdrop + +## Execution gates +1. AMLX option quotes are 0/0 pre-market — **verify live spread ≤ $0.25 after 9:30** before any option entry. +2. No AMLX entry in the first 5 minutes (6:55–7:25 AM halt history). +3. XOS is equity-only — "single-leg call/put" is not executable for this name; say so if asked. +4. Nothing here is a recorded/binding plan — pick a plan and it gets recorded via the trade workflow first. + +**Stage artifacts:** `01_broad_filter/output/shortlist.md` · `02_confluence_analysis/output/confluence_analysis.md` · `03_trade_plan/output/trade_plans.md` · this card. diff --git a/workflows/scan-watchlist-icm/stages/00_clarify/output/user_preferences.md b/workflows/scan-watchlist-icm/stages/00_clarify/output/user_preferences.md deleted file mode 100644 index b76f48a..0000000 --- a/workflows/scan-watchlist-icm/stages/00_clarify/output/user_preferences.md +++ /dev/null @@ -1,31 +0,0 @@ -# Scan Preferences — run 2026-08-17 (Mon) - -## Config (confirmed by operator 2026-08-17 ~10:38 AM ET) - -1. **Bias:** long + short (both). Short setups evaluated when price is into resistance / key MAs. -2. **Time horizon:** 0DTE intraday — live run during Monday 2026-08-17 session (market open, ~10:38 AM ET). -3. **Asset class focus:** Equities + in-list ETFs (TAN, SQQQ get full confluence review). SPY/QQQ used for market regime only. -4. **Watchlist file:** `cha-martin-1.csv` (9 tickers) - -## Tickers (9) - -| Ticker | Type | -|--------|------| -| AAPL | equity | -| UPS | equity | -| UBER | equity | -| TSM | equity | -| TSLS | equity (verify symbol at scan time) | -| TSLA | equity | -| TGT | equity | -| TAN | ETF (solar) | -| SQQQ | ETF (inverse QQQ 3x short) | - -## Standing preferences carried from memory - -- Near-50MA confluence: tickers within ~1% of 50MA flagged as strong confluence (broad filter uses ~3% per stage design). -- Credit spreads preferred over debit for options structures (bid-ask ≤ $0.25 preferred for scalps). -- VWAP is the standard intraday reference; pullbacks to VWAP in rising action = long trigger. -- Multi-target exits (T1/T2/T3) with partials; stop-tighten as targets hit. -- GEX checked at 9:45 ET open for the 0DTE execution window (done pre-run; re-check after major moves). -- User polls for progress — keep status updates visible between stages.